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Trump said that he would use aid to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to sit at the negotiating table. US President-elect Donald Trump said that he would use US support to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to end the conflict through negotiations.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)

According to the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE), the Global Fund bought 23.4 billion rupees of Indian stocks on December 13th.Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture: It is estimated that Ukraine's grain output will be close to 55 million tons in 2024, compared with the previous estimate of 54 million tons. It is estimated that Ukraine's grain exports in 2024/25 may include 16.2 million tons of wheat, 20.5 million tons of corn and 2.9 million tons of barley. It is estimated that Ukraine's total grain export in 2024/25 will be 40.3 million tons, compared with 51 million tons in 2023/24.International oil prices fell on the 12th. As of the close of the day, the light crude oil futures price for January delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 27 cents to close at 70.02 US dollars per barrel, a decrease of 0.38%. London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery in 2025 fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel, a decrease of 0.15%.

Market News: It is reported that Iraq's strategic wheat reserve is enough to meet the consumption for more than six months.American natural gas futures fell more than 3.00% in the day and are now reported at $3.351/million British heat.Hokkaido, Japan will levy accommodation tax from 2026, and it is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach 4.5 billion yen. On December 12, the plenary session of Hokkaido Parliament of Japan passed a regulation to levy accommodation tax on tourists staying in hotels and hotels in Daodao, which is expected to be implemented from April 2026. The accommodation fee per person per night is 500 yen if it is above 50,000 yen (about 2,380 yuan), 200 yen if it is between 20,000 and 50,000 yen, and 100 yen if it is below 20,000 yen. It is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach about 4.5 billion yen, which will be used for transportation infrastructure construction and "excessive tourism" (tourism pollution) countermeasures.